Trends of modeling the social risks of road traffic accidents

Authors

  • Олександр Васильович Рябушенко Kharkov national automobile and highway university Petrovskogo street, 25, Kharkov, Ukraine, 61002, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.16344

Keywords:

traffic safety, road traffic accident, risks, social harm, the RTA risk modeling

Abstract

The paper considers approaches and methods of assessment of human health and safety risks related to road traffic accidents (RTA). It must become one of the key indicators when analyzing negative social and economic consequences of road traffic accident rate, and developing the state policy of the road traffic safety improvement. The paper gives models, which can be used for analyzing and evaluating the RTA risks, as well as economic and social losses caused by RTA.

In the most general way the RTA risk value can be expressed as the product of event and consequences probability. Therefore, one and the same risk can be caused either by high probability of RTA with minor consequences or limited probability of RTA with a high level of losses.

The quantitative risk evaluation models, presented in the paper, do not completely show real mechanisms of the RTA emergence and development in different road traffic situations, elements of a road network. Therefore, each specific analysis case requires an appropriate risk evaluation model, which allows getting accurate results with the least expenses for calculation and source data collection

Author Biography

Олександр Васильович Рябушенко, Kharkov national automobile and highway university Petrovskogo street, 25, Kharkov, Ukraine, 61002

Candidate of technical sciences

Department of organization and road motion safety

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Published

2013-08-14

How to Cite

Рябушенко, О. В. (2013). Trends of modeling the social risks of road traffic accidents. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 4(4(64), 64–67. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.16344

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 4(64) (2013): Mathematics and cybernetics - applied aspects

Section

Mathematics and Cybernetics - applied aspects

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Copyright (c) 2014 Олександр Васильович Рябушенко

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