Method of predicting the water level in the river Dniester, depending on weather conditions

Authors

  • Михайло Іванович Горбійчук Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and gas Karpatskaya, 15, Ivano-Frankivsk, 76019, Ukraine
  • Мар’яна Антоніївна Шуфнарович Ivano-Frankivsk National Medical University Galickaya, 2, Ivano-Frankivsk, 76019, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.14746

Keywords:

Synthesis of mathematical models, genetic algorithm, chromosome, external criterion, aliquant frequency, harmonic series, prediction accuracy

Abstract

This article describes a new method of constructing mathematical models of complex oscillatory processes with non-multiple frequencies, based on the ideas of genetic algorithms. Compared with existing methods of creating mathematical models of complex processes considered in the works of Academician O.G.Ivakhnenko and his students, this method allows the synthesis of mathematical models of any complexity. Using the ideas of genetic algorithms to the construction of mathematical models provides an opportunity not only to choose the optimal structure of an adequate model, but also significantly reduce the number of calculations at search patterns. Therefore, the new method can be used to predict how the physical phenomena and complex processes. Effectiveness of the developed method has been confirmed by the model of change of the water level in the river Dniester, depending on weather conditions. The model constructed by the water level in the river Dniester gives sufficiently accurate prediction results. The author suggests that the model can be used for flood forecasting

Author Biographies

Михайло Іванович Горбійчук, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and gas Karpatskaya, 15, Ivano-Frankivsk, 76019

Professor

head of the department of computer systems and networks

Мар’яна Антоніївна Шуфнарович, Ivano-Frankivsk National Medical University Galickaya, 2, Ivano-Frankivsk, 76019

assistant of the department of medical informatics, medical and biological physics 

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Published

2013-06-20

How to Cite

Горбійчук, М. І., & Шуфнарович, М. А. (2013). Method of predicting the water level in the river Dniester, depending on weather conditions. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 3(4(63), 13–19. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.14746

Issue

Vol. 3 No. 4(63) (2013): Mathematics and cybernetics - fundamental ans applied aspects

Section

Mathematics and Cybernetics - applied aspects

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Copyright (c) 2014 Михайло Іванович Горбійчук, Мар’яна Антоніївна Шуфнарович

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