DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/2313-8416.2016.86228

Development of probabilistic-satistical approach to the identification of weak subsystems of the power sysyem

Микола Володимирович Костерєв, Володимир Валерійович Літвінов

Abstract


The approach to identification of the weak elements of power system in a lot of uncertainties conditions was developed. Main uncertainty is the lack of analytical dependences among the weak criteria that requires to use fuzzy methods and algorithms. The weakness criteria of power system elements were justified. The algorithm of accident risk estimation in power system at the time interval and identification of weak subsystems with fuzzy clusterization using was developed


Keywords


power system; weak element; weakness criterion; fuzzy-statistical modeling; clusterization

References


Kosterev, M., Litvinov, V. (2016). Development of fuzzy statistical method of optimal resource allocation among technical departments of an electric utility company. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 3/4 (81), 20–27. doi: 10.15587/1729-4061.2016.70522

Soudi, S. (2013). Distribution System Planning With Distributed Generations Considering Benefits and Costs. International Journal of Modern Education and Computer Science, 5 (10), 45–52. doi: 10.5815/ijmecs.2013.09.07

Bae, I. S., Kim, J. O., Kim, J. C., Singh, C. (2004). Optimal Operating Strategy for Distributed Generation Considering Hourly Reliability Worth. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 19 (1), 287–292. doi: 10.1109/tpwrs.2003.818738

Fathi, B. (2011). Investigation the Interest Rate of Each Energy Source on Optimal Sizing of Distributed Energy Resources. Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology, 3 (8), 812–817.

Hajizadeh, A., Golkar, M. A. (2007). Intelligent power management strategy of hybrid distributed generation system. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, 29 (10), 783–795. doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2007.06.025

Kosterev, M. V., Litvinov, V. V. (2011). Otsinka imovirnosti vidmovy elektroobladnannia pry keruvanni rezhymamy elektrychnoi systemy. Naukovi pratsi DonNTU, Elektrotehnika i energetika, 11, 199–204.

Sobol, I. M. (1973). Chislennye metody Monte-Karlo. Moscow: Nauka, 312.

Shtovba, S. D. (2007). Proektirovanie nechetkih sistem sredstvami MATLAB. Moscow: Goriachaia linia – Telekom, 288.

Zadeh, L. A. (1973). Outline of a New Approach to the Analysis of Complex Systems and Decision Processes. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC-3 (1), 28–44. doi: 10.1109/tsmc.1973.5408575

Ventsel, E. S. (1972). Issledovanie operatsiy. Moscow: Sovetskoe radio, 552.


GOST Style Citations


Kosterev, M. Development of Fuzzy-Statistical Method of Optimal Resource Allocation Among Technical Departments of an Electric Utility Company [Text] / M. Kosterev, V. Litvinov // Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies. – 2016. – Vol. 3, Issue 4 (81). – P. 20–27. doi: 10.15587/1729-4061.2016.70522

Soudi, S. Distribution System Planning With Distributed Generations Considering Benefits and Costs [Text] / S. Soudi // International Journal of Modern Education and Computer Science. – 2013. – Vol. 5, Issue 10. – P. 45–52. doi: 10.5815/ijmecs.2013.09.07

Bae, I. S. Optimal operating strategy for distributed generation considering hourly reliability worth [Text] / I. S. Bae, J. O. Kim, J. C. Kim, C. Singh // IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. – 2004. – Vol. 19, Issue 1. – Р. 287–292. doi: 10.1109/tpwrs.2003.818738

Fathi, B. Investigation the Interest Rate of Each Energy Source on Optimal Sizing of Distributed Energy Resources [Text] / B. Fathi // Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology. – 2011. – Vol. 3, Issue 8. – P. 812–817.

Hajizadeh, A. Intelligent power management strategy of hybrid distributed generation system [Text] / A. Hajizadeh, M. A. Golkar // International Journal of Electrical Power Engineering Systems. – 2009. – Vol. 29, Issue 10. – P. 783–795. doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2007.06.025

Костерєв, М. В. Оцінка імовірності відмови електрообладнання при керуванні режимами електричної системи [Текст] / М. В. Костерев, Є. І. Бардик, В. В. Літвінов // Наукові праці Донецького НТУ. Серія: «Електротехніка і енергетика». – 2011. – № 11. – С. 199–204.

Соболь, И. М. Численные методы Монте-Карло [Текст] / И. М. Соболь. – М.: Наука, 1973. – 312 с.

Штовба, С. Д. Проектирование нечетких систем средствами MATLAB [Текст] / С. Д. Штовба. – М.: Горячая линия – Телеком, 2007. – 288 с.

Zadeh, L. A. Outline of a New Approach to the Analysis of Complex Systems and Decision Processes [Text] / L. A. Zadeh // IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. – 1973. – Vol. SMC-3, Issue 1. – Р. 28–44. doi: 10.1109/tsmc.1973.5408575

Вентцель, Е. С. Исследование операций [Текст] / Е. С. Вентцель. – М.: Советское радио, 1972. – 552 с.







Copyright (c) 2016

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

ISSN 2313-8416 (Online), ISSN 2313-6286 (Print)