ALGORITHM FOR MONITORING THE POWER OF CRITERIA FOR TESTING THE EXPONENTIVITY OF NEUTRON FLUX DENSITY IN THE SHELTER OBJECT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24025/2306-4412.2.2022.257822Keywords:
simulation modeling, decision support, time series analysis, hypothesis testing, statistical tests, new safe confinement , nuclear-hazardous clusters, operational diagnosticsAbstract
Nuclear safety monitoring of the "New Safe Confinement – Shelter Object" system requires constant monitoring of the dynamics of neutron flux density from clusters of nuclear fuel-containing materials at sub-reactor premises at the Shelter object. The paper proposes an algorithm for identifying transitions of neutron flux time series trends from lineal into exponential dependence. The monitoring of the powers of statistical criteria that can be used in determining the moments of transition of dynamic series to the law of exponential distribution has been carried out. The criteria are classified according to the "power - sample size" parameters. A set of criteria, which is most expedient to use when checking the laws of exponential distribution, is offered. The power of statistical criteria is estimated at different sample sizes, without taking into account competing hypotheses. Powers of three groups of exponentiality testing criteria for different data sets have been established. Motivated use of criteria for different sample sizes is recommended. The obtained results are the basis for the construction of algorithms for automated monitoring systems for assessing the state of fuel-containing materials in the complex "New Safe Confinement – Shelter Object". The scientific novelty of the obtained results consists in clarifying the list of exponentiality testing criteria for discretized time series, specifying the limits of their use, determining optimal sets of monitoring criteria for new classes of objects. The practical significance lies in the use of the results as a basis for designing a subsystem for exponentiality testing and monitoring in an automated control system and decision support system on the research object. The direction of further research is the use of the obtained results to construct algorithms for automated monitoring and decision support systems to assess the state of the New Safe Confinement – Shelter Object system.
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Copyright (c) 2022 Ігор Семенович Скітер, Максим Володимирович Савельєв, Сергій Володимирович Купріянчук, Дмитро Олегович Хоменко
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