Прогноз повторяемости меридианальной циркуляции северного типа в северном полушарии земли
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/2313-8416.2015.35910Słowa kluczowe:
атмосферная циркуляция, солнечная активность, Атлантическая меридиональная мода, прогноз, значимые факторыAbstrakt
Выявлены условия, при которых учет в качестве аргументов линейной множественно-регрессионной модели фрагментов временных рядов среднегодовых значений чисел Вольфа и средних температур поверхности северной Атлантики обеспечивает наибольшую точность прогнозов изменений суммарной продолжительности преобладания в атмосфере над северным полушарием элементарных циркуляционных механизмов, которые относятся к группе меридиональных северных процессов
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