DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2016.66795

The impact of fluctuations in volume of transported passengers in urban traffic on the performance indicators of routes

Юрій Олександрович Давідіч, Олена Євгенівна Доля

Abstract


This article discusses the possibility of applying statistical analysis to the operating costs of the enterprise to make the transportation of passengers on city routes, as well as the impact of fluctuations in volume of transported passengers on such costs. The use of modern means of data analysis allows make a quantitative statistical analysis of the main performance indicators of the enterprise on the city routes. The presented method allows analyzing the activity of the enterprise to evaluate enterprise risks when planning their activities. Scenarios forecasting mechanism for changes of the basic operational resources of the enterprise is shown. The authors propose to use established relationships between the volumes of transportation of passengers and the cost of transportation to ensure the quality of strategic planning. The research results can be applied to the transport companies that provide services for passengers on bus routes of the public service in the cities.


Keywords


passenger; probability; costs; traffic volumes; route

References


Dolya, O. Ye. (2011). Shchodo prohnozuvannia virohidnosti realizatsii investytsiinoho proektu z zakupivli avtomobilnykh transportnykh zasobiv na marshruty zahalnoho korystuvannia. Visnyk Donetskoi akademii avtomobilnoho transportu, 1, 17–24.

Dolia, V. K. (2002). Orhanizatsiia pasazhyrskykh perevezen u mistakh. Kharkiv: Nove slovo, 140.

Vorkut, T. A. (2000). Proektnyi analiz. Kyiv: Ukrainian Center for Spiritual Culture, 428.

Boyle, D. (2008). TCRP Synthesis 77 – Passenger Counting Systems, Transit Cooperative Research Program, Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC, 73. doi:10.17226/14207

Higgins, L. L. (2000, September). Assessment of Metrolift Paratransit Scheduling System. Report № TTI/ITS RCE – 01/02. Texas A&M ITS Research Center of Excellence, Texas A&M Transportation Institute. Available: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/17000/17200/17225/PB2001100374.pdf

Hemily, B. (2012, October 11). Providing Guidance for the Design and Implementation of Travel Management Coordination Centers (TMCC). Draft Report. ITS JPO.

Haas, R., Perry, E., Rephlo, J.; Science Applications International Corporation. (2009, November). A Case Study on Applying the Systems Engineering Approach: Best Practices and Lessons Learned from the Chattanooga SmartBus Project. Contract or Grant № DTFH61-02-C-00061; Task 61027. United States Department of Transportation, Intelligent Transportation Systems Joint Program Office, Federal Transit Administration. Available: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/32000/32600/32672/61027_se.pdf

Boyle, D., Pappas, J., Boyle, P., Nelson, B., Sharfarz, D., Benn, H. (2009, March). TCRP Web-Only Document 45: Appendixes to TCRP Report 135: Controlling System Costs: Basic and Advanced Scheduling Manuals and Contemporary Issues in Transit Scheduling. Transit Cooperative Research Program, Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC. Available: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/tcrp/tcrp_webdoc_45.pdf

Burt, M. W., Cluett, C., Schweiger, C. L., Coogan, M. A., Easley, R. B., Easley, S. (2007). Improving Public Transportation Technology Implementations And Anticipating Emerging Technologies. Transit Cooperative Research Program Project J-09, Task 12, Transportation Research Board. Report 84, Vol. 8. Washington, DC, 76. doi:10.17226/13894

Chu, X. (2010, December). A Guidebook for Using Automatic Passenger Counter Data for National Transit Database (NTD) Reporting. Report № NCTR778-03, FDOT BDK85 977-04. Research and Innovative Technology Administration, Florida Department of Transportation. Available: http://www.nctr.usf.edu/pdf/77803.pdf


GOST Style Citations


Доля, О. Є. Щодо прогнозування вірогідності реалізації інвестиційного проекту з закупівлі автомобільних транспортних засобів на маршрути загального користування [Текст] / О. Є. Доля // Вісник Донецької академії автомобільного транспорту. – 2011. – № 1. – С. 17–24.

Доля, В. К. Організація пасажирських перевезень у містах [Текст]: навч. посіб. / В. К. Доля. – Х.: Нове слово, 2002. – 140 с.

Воркут, Т. А. Проектний аналіз [Текст]: навч. посіб. / Т. А. Воркут. – К.: Укр. центр духовної культури, 2000. – 428 с.

Boyle, D. TCRP Synthesis 77 – Passenger Counting Systems, Transit Cooperative Research Program, Transportation Research Board [Text] / D. Boyle. – Washington, DC, 2008. – 73 p. doi:10.17226/14207

Higgins, L. L. Assessment of Metrolift Paratransit Scheduling System [Electronic resource]: Report № TTI/ITS RCE – 01/02. – Texas A&M ITS Research Center of Excellence, Texas A&M Transportation Institute, September 2000. – Available at: \www/URL: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/17000/17200/17225/PB2001100374.pdf

Hemily, B. Providing Guidance for the Design and Implementation of Travel Management Coordination Centers (TMCC) [Text]: Draft Report / B. Hemily. – ITS JPO, October 11, 2012.

Haas, R. A Case Study on Applying the Systems Engineering Approach: Best Practices and Lessons Learned from the Chattanooga SmartBus Project [Electronic resource]: Contract or Grant № DTFH61-02-C-00061; Task 61027 / R. Haas, E. Perry, J. Rephlo; Science Applications International Corporation. – United States Department of Transportation, Intelligent Transportation Systems Joint Program Office, Federal Transit Administration, November 2009. – Available at: \www/URL: http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/32000/32600/32672/61027_se.pdf

Boyle, D. TCRP Web-Only Document 45: Appendixes to TCRP Report 135: Controlling System Costs: Basic and Advanced Scheduling Manuals and Contemporary Issues in Transit Scheduling [Electronic resource] / D. Boyle, J. Pappas, P. Boyle, B. Nelson, D. Sharfarz, H. Benn // Transit Cooperative Research Program, Transportation Research Board. – Washington, DC, March 2009. – Available at: \www/URL: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/tcrp/tcrp_webdoc_45.pdf

Burt, M. W. Improving Public Transportation Technology Implementations And Anticipating Emerging Technologies [Text] / M. W. Burt, C. Cluett, C. L. Schweiger, M. A. Coogan, R. B. Easley, S. Easley // Transit Cooperative Research Program Project J-09, Task 12, Transportation Research Board. – Washington, DC, 2007. – Report 84, Vol. 8. – 76 p. doi:10.17226/13894

Chu, X. A Guidebook for Using Automatic Passenger Counter Data for National Transit Database (NTD) Reporting [Electronic resource]: Report № NCTR778-03, FDOT BDK85 977-04 / X. Chu. – Research and Innovative Technology Administration, Florida Department of Transportation, December 2010. – Available at: \www/URL: http://www.nctr.usf.edu/pdf/77803.pdf







Copyright (c) 2016 Юрій Олександрович Давідіч, Олена Євгенівна Доля

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

ISSN (print) 2664-9969, ISSN (on-line) 2706-5448