Forecast the distribution of passenger correspondences on the route network sections

Authors

  • Николай Анатольевич Нефедов Kharkiv national automobile and highway university 25, Petrovskogo st., Kharkiv, Uktaine, Ukraine
  • Альберт Авуа Джуниор Urban Development Consortium 104 Kwame Nkrumah Avenue, P. O. Box GP 17186, Accra-Ghana, Ghana

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/2313-8416.2014.29791

Keywords:

passenger, route, choosing route probability, attractiveness, waiting time at the bus stop

Abstract

We present an iterative algorithm for the calculation of predicted values of the urban transport route network sections traffic. This algorithm is designed for use in automated design systems of urban passenger transport systems and based on accounting for the influence of the actual waiting time of a passenger at a bus stop point on the probability of choice of route alternative sets. Using this approach allows to increase the accuracy of the forecast for 5–10 %.

Author Biographies

Николай Анатольевич Нефедов, Kharkiv national automobile and highway university 25, Petrovskogo st., Kharkiv, Uktaine

Doctor of Philisophy, Associated professor

Department of transport systems and logistics

Альберт Авуа Джуниор, Urban Development Consortium 104 Kwame Nkrumah Avenue, P. O. Box GP 17186, Accra-Ghana

Director

References

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Ben-Akiva, M. E., Bierlaire, M. (2003). Discrete choice models with applications to departure time and route choice. Handbook of Transportation Science, 32.

Qiao, K., Zhao, P., Qin, Z.-P. (2013). Passenger route choice model and algorithm in the urban rail transit network. Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management, 6 (1), 113–123. doi: 10.3926/jiem.595

Nefedov, N. A., Al'bert, Avua Dzh. Experimental research of passenger trip route choice probability. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 3/12, 113–123. Available at: http://journals.uran.ua/eejet/article/view/23140/20894

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Published

2014-11-24

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 2(4) (2014)

Section

Technical Sciences

License

Copyright (c) 2014 Николай Анатольевич Нефедов, Альберт Авуа Джуниор

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