Development of the method of forecasting the atmospheric air pollution parameters based on error correction by neural-like structures of the model of successive geometric transformations

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2019.188743

Keywords:

atmospheric air, neural-like structure, principal components, forecasting error correction

Abstract

The article describes the importance of improving existing and exploring new algorithms for predicting environmental parameters to improve the quality of environmental monitoring. Because the organization and management of production require the development of new approaches to the problem of control and management of industrial sources of harmful substances based on new information technologies. One of the most problematic places in industrial air quality control and management systems is the development of advanced prospective air pollution forecasting algorithms. These algorithms must take into account t situational changes in data distribution and do not require retraining of atmospheric air pollution parameters. With the advent of neural-like structures, there is a need for their study, including the task of predicting the parameters of air pollution. The object of research is the neural-like structures of the Model of Successive Geometric Transformations. A method for predicting the parameters of atmospheric air pollution based on error correction with the help of a committee of different types of neural-like structures is proposed. In the course of the study, three methods for predicting the parameters of atmospheric air pollution were analyzed: a Generalized Regression Neural Network, a Radial Basis Function, and a neural-like structure of Sequential Geometric Transformations Model. A combination of these methods was performed and the results of the three methods were compared. It is experimentally determined that the prediction of atmospheric air pollution parameters based on the error correction using the committee of neural-like structures of the Sequential Geometric Transformations Model provides a prediction error reduction by 7 % of the General Regression Neural Network and by 2.6 % of the Radial Basis Function with extended General Regression Network. The obtained results increase the reliability and speed of forecasting of atmospheric air parameters to improve the quality of monitoring of emissions of harmful impurities in production and to make environmental management decisions.

Author Biography

Oleksandra Mishchuk, Lviv Polytechnic National University, 12, Banderу str., Lviv, Ukraine, 79013

Postgraduate Student

Department of Publishing Information Technologies

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Published

2019-11-21

How to Cite

Mishchuk, O. (2019). Development of the method of forecasting the atmospheric air pollution parameters based on error correction by neural-like structures of the model of successive geometric transformations. Technology Audit and Production Reserves, 6(2(50), 26–30. https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2019.188743

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 2(50) (2019): Information and control systems

Section

Reports on research projects

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Copyright (c) 2020 Oleksandra Mishchuk

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