Ecosystem dynamics simulation with the «predator-prey» system as an example

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/2313-8416.2017.113288

Keywords:

generalized «predator-prey» model, non-linear differential equations, simulation model, environmental safety

Abstract

The results of population dynamics simulation for «predator – prey» ecosystem in the Zhytomyr region with the fox-hare pair as an example are presented. The possibility of using the probabilistic approach for solving the problem of increasing the forecasting period of the dynamics of ecological systems is substantiated. The obtained results have practical value for prediction of interaction processes in the «predator – prey» system in order to estimate changes in population size for five years, which will allow to timely identify the threats to ecological safety

Author Biographies

Yuri Brodsky, Zhytomyr National Agroecological University Staryi Boulevard, 7, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, 10008

PhD

Department of Computer Technologies and Systems Modeling

Alexander Majewski, Zhytomyr National Agroecological University Staryi Boulevard, 7, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, 10008

Lecturer

Department of Computer Technologies and Systems Modeling

Yuri Timonin, Zhytomyr National Agroecological University Staryi Boulevard, 7, Zhytomyr, Ukraine, 10008

PhD

Department of Computer Technologies and Systems Modeling

References

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Published

2017-10-31

Issue

Section

Technical Sciences