Development of method of risk assessment of ship’s demmurage as a result of restricted relaibility of port’s mechanisms

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2014.26740

Keywords:

port’s terminal, failures of port’s mechanisms, random demurrage of ship, insurance

Abstract

The methodical approach is proposed for assessment of additional ship’s demurrage under loading (unloading) arising because of  port’s mechanisms failures and corresponding reduction of loading (unloading ) processing rate. This approach is based on theory of queueing systems evolving in random environment. With the help of the linear Markov processes the algorithm is developed for actual standing time of ship distribution function finding taking into account possible reduction of processing rate. This distribution function allows us to calculate a forecast of ship’s time of demurrage. The results obtained give possibility to formulate the criterion of expediency of demurrage risk’s insurance by port terminal’s operator (the risk of contract laytime exceeding). Practical use of our method allows а port terminal’s operator to reduce his financial loss under such risk appearance. 

Author Biographies

Михаил Яковлевич Постан, Odessa National Maritime University, 34, Mechnikov Str., Odessa, Ukraine, 65029

Doctor of Economics, Professor, Head of Department

Department of Management and Marketing in maritime transport

Татьяна Евгеньевна Корниец, Odessa National Maritime University, 34, Mechnikov Str., Odessa, Ukraine, 65029

Candidate of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor

Department seaports operations

Лариса Владимировна Москалюк, Odessa National Maritime University, 34, Mechnikov Str., Odessa, Ukraine, 65029

Candidate of Economics, Associate Professor

Department of Economic Theory and Cybernetics

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Published

2014-10-02

How to Cite

Постан, М. Я., Корниец, Т. Е., & Москалюк, Л. В. (2014). Development of method of risk assessment of ship’s demmurage as a result of restricted relaibility of port’s mechanisms. Technology Audit and Production Reserves, 5(2(19), 69–75. https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2014.26740

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 2(19) (2014): Production reserves. Economics and management of enterprise. Development of productive forces and regional economy

Section

Mathematical methods, models and information technologies in economics

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Copyright (c) 2016 Михаил Яковлевич Постан, Татьяна Евгеньевна Корниец, Лариса Владимировна Москалюк

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