Research of method for determining reliability of technical system using simulation tests
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/2312-8372.2016.66481Keywords:
probability theory, mathematical statistics, checking of plausibility of the hypotheses, probability of failureAbstract
To analyze the reliability parameters such probability of failure need to collect statistics. It is necessary to test certain objects. Often such tests spent a lot of money. It is not effective, for example, in cases where you just need to check out the new method and model. Therefore there is a need to develop a method to simulate the reliability test for sample party.
As a result, this task has received the following: it was further developed Monte Carlo method, which is known as the method in which it is considered checking of plausibility of the hypotheses that led to the improvement of its adaptation for simulation process of the tests, leading to increased likelihood of probability of failure The use of this statistics in the proposed improved Monte Carlo method results in reduces of errors during the simulation modeling and the processing of the actual statistics. Use of checking of plausibility of the hypotheses result in adequate choice of theoretical distribution and planning of testing is reduced to collect the necessary statistics.
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Copyright (c) 2016 Сергій Вікторович Єгоров, Тетяна Юріївна Шкварницька
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