Construction of a simulation model for substantiating the parameters of long-term road maintenance contracts

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2022.253652

Keywords:

motorways, long-term contract, ultimate results, contract parameters, justification method

Abstract

This paper reports a study into the main parameters of long-term contracts for the maintenance of roads. Weaknesses in existing methods and models of substantiation of the initial characteristics of contracts have been identified. It is established that the main reason for the transition to long-term contacts in the road sector is the need to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of road asset management. This determines the main goal to maintain the operational condition of all components of roads at a level that ensures the satisfaction of user requirements and contributes to the preservation of assets.

A simulation model for substantiating the parameters of long-term contracts for road maintenance has been built, which makes it possible to simulate forecast assessments of the characteristics of contracts. Underlying this study is the Monte Carlo method, as well as the triangular law of distribution, models of deterioration and restoration of the condition of road elements. Taking into consideration these models, it was established that the error in justifying the parameters of long-term contracts according to the devised method is up to 10 %.

The devised model was tested by applying the developed original LTCsimula program using an example of the section of a motorway with a length of 87.3 km with an average level of requirements. According to the results of the test, the assessment of the laws of distribution of value, as well as the amount of deductions and profits of a long-term contract, was carried out. The calculation results demonstrated the model’s capability to determine the strategies for the maintenance of roads, taking into consideration the risk of implementing a contract with an error of up to 3.9 %.

The practical use of the devised simulation model makes it possible to improve the efficiency of operational maintenance of roads, as well as to save from 10 % to 40 % of the cost of road maintenance

Author Biographies

Alexander Kanin, National Transport University

PhD, Associate Professor

Department of Transport Construction and Property Management

Anna Kharchenko, National Transport University

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor

Department of Transport Construction and Property Management

Vitalii Tsybulskyi, National Transport University

PhD, Senior Lecturer

Department of Strength of Materials and Engineering Science

Natalia Sokolova, National Transport University

PhD, Associate Professor

Department of Transport Construction and Property Management

Alona Shpyh, Research Institute of Transport Problems and Construction Technologies

PhD, Associate Professor, Director

References

  1. Shang, L., Abdel Aziz, A. M. (2020). Stackelberg Game Theory-Based Optimization Model for Design of Payment Mechanism in Performance-Based PPPs. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 146 (4), 04020029. doi: https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)co.1943-7862.0001806
  2. Kulkarni, R. B., Van Til, C. J. (1984). Manual for the selection of optimal maintenance levels of service. TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C. Available at: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_273.pdf
  3. Rutešić, S., Ćetković, J., Lakić, S., Živković, A., Knežević, M. (2020). Proposition of a Model for Selection of the Hybrid Contract Implementation Strategy for a Pilot Project of Regular Road Maintenance in Montenegro. Advances in Civil Engineering, 2020, 1–12. doi: https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8844980
  4. Geržinič, N., van Cranenburgh, S., Cats, O., Lancsar, E., Chorus, C. (2021). Estimating decision rule differences between “best” and “worst” choices in a sequential best worst discrete choice experiment. Journal of Choice Modelling, 41, 100307. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100307
  5. Abu Samra, S., Osman, H., Hosny, O. (2017). Optimal Maintenance and Rehabilitation Policies for Performance-Based Road Maintenance Contracts. Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities, 31 (1), 04016075. doi: https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)cf.1943-5509.0000928
  6. Mutai, H. K., Aila, F. (2018). Effect of Performance Based Contracting on Performance of Road Agencies in Kenya. International Journal of Scientific Research and Innovative Technology, 5 (10). Available at: http://www.ijsrit.com/uploaded_all_files/2769971008_u1.pdf
  7. Soliño, A. S., Carrillo de Albornoz, V. A. (2019). Improving the payment mechanism in transport public–private partnerships. Public Money & Management, 41 (3), 246–254. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/09540962.2019.1684013
  8. Carrillo de Albornoz, V. A., Molina Millán, J., Sánchez Soliño, A. (2018). Managing a Portfolio of Public–Private Partnerships: Concessionaire Perspective. Journal of Management in Engineering, 34 (6), 04018044. doi: https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)me.1943-5479.0000651
  9. Lara Galera, A., Sánchez Soliño, A., Abad, B. G. (2018). Sharing Risks in Toll Motorway Concessions: Subsidies as Real Options on Traffic Volume. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 24 (4), 06018001. doi: https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)is.1943-555x.0000453
  10. Tjendani, H. T., Anwar, N., Wiguna, I. P. A. (2018). Two stage simulation to optimize risk sharing in performance-based contract on national road a system dynamic and game theory approach. ARPN Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 13 (15), 4432–4439. Available at: http://www.arpnjournals.org/jeas/research_papers/rp_2018/jeas_0818_7221.pdf
  11. Artama Wiguna, I. P., Anwar, N., Teki Tjendani, H. (2019). Developing the simulation model towards sustainability of implementing performance-based contract. MATEC Web of Conferences, 276, 02025. doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201927602025
  12. Queiroz, C., Mladenović, G. (2018). Workshop: Financial Modelling of Output- and Performance-Based Road Contracts (OPBRC). International Conference on Traffic and Transport Engineering – ICTTE. Belgrade. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331622741_Workshop_Financial_Modelling_of_Output-_and_Performance-Based_Road_Contracts_OPBRC
  13. Zietlow, G. (2017). Role of the private sector in managing and maintaining roads. STREET Competition, Entrepreneurship, and the Future of Roads SMART. Available at: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781315130330-18/role-private-sector-managing-maintaining-roads-gunter-zietlow?context=ubx&refId=d6b287cd-a949-446b-8453-a3ee9c03cf98
  14. Zietlow, G. (2016). Better Road Asset Management Through Performance-Based Maintenance (PBM) in Nepal. Kathmandu, 113. Available at: http://performance-based-road-contracts.com/pres/Nepal.PBM.pdf
  15. Zietlow, G. (2017). Performance Based Road Maintenance Contracts – Reference note. CAREC, 76. Available at: https://www.carecprogram.org/uploads/PBC-Reference-Note.pdf
  16. Kharchenko, A. M. (2021). Naukovi osnovy upravlinnia prohramamy ekspluatatsiynoho utrymannia avtomobilnykh dorih. Kyiv: Natsionalnyi transportnyi un-t, 416. Available at: http://diser.ntu.edu.ua/Kharchenko_dis.pdf
  17. Makovska, Yu. A. (2021). Mekhanizm zabezpechennia stratehichnoho rozvytku dorozhno-ekspluatatsiynykh pidpryiemstv. Kyiv: Natsionalnyi transportnyi un-t, 259. Available at: http://diser.ntu.edu.ua/Makovska_dis.pdf
  18. Kanin, A. P., Kharchenko, A. N., Sokolova, N. M., Sphyh, A. U., Zavorotnyi, S. M. (2020). Modern approaches to road maintenance on performance long-term contracts based on the operating condition principle. Modern engineering and innovative technologies, 14, 12–22. Available at: https://www.moderntechno.de/index.php/meit/issue/download/meit14-03/meit14-03

Downloads

Published

2022-04-28

How to Cite

Kanin, A. ., Kharchenko, A., Tsybulskyi, V., Sokolova, N., & Shpyh, A. (2022). Construction of a simulation model for substantiating the parameters of long-term road maintenance contracts . Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 2(3 (116), 33–42. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2022.253652

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 3 (116) (2022): Control processes

Section

Control processes

License

Copyright (c) 2022 Alexander Kanin, Anna Kharchenko, Vitalii Tsybulskyi, Natalia Sokolova, Alona Shpyh

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

The consolidation and conditions for the transfer of copyright (identification of authorship) is carried out in the License Agreement. In particular, the authors reserve the right to the authorship of their manuscript and transfer the first publication of this work to the journal under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY license. At the same time, they have the right to conclude on their own additional agreements concerning the non-exclusive distribution of the work in the form in which it was published by this journal, but provided that the link to the first publication of the article in this journal is preserved.

A license agreement is a document in which the author warrants that he/she owns all copyright for the work (manuscript, article, etc.).
The authors, signing the License Agreement with TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC, have all rights to the further use of their work, provided that they link to our edition in which the work was published.
According to the terms of the License Agreement, the Publisher TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC does not take away your copyrights and receives permission from the authors to use and dissemination of the publication through the world's scientific resources (own electronic resources, scientometric databases, repositories, libraries, etc.).
In the absence of a signed License Agreement or in the absence of this agreement of identifiers allowing to identify the identity of the author, the editors have no right to work with the manuscript.
It is important to remember that there is another type of agreement between authors and publishers – when copyright is transferred from the authors to the publisher. In this case, the authors lose ownership of their work and may not use it in any way.