Linear optimization of forest management for dynamic recursive model

Olga Turkovska, Mykola Gusti, Pekka Lauri, Nicklas Forsell, Petr Havlík, Michael Obersteiner

Abstract


Our study presents development of a forest management model based on LP which can be easily integrated into a large-scale dynamic recursive model and contain the instruments providing future consideration for harvesting plans under recursive limitations. We introduce a general structure and simulation algorithm of the model. The forest management algorithm was tested applying historical data of Ukrainian forests. Obtained modeling results demonstrate a correct age class transition. They prove as well adequacy of utilizing benefit losses and delay costs as regulative mechanisms for temporal allocation of forest harvesting. As far as statistic data concerning age structure of Ukrainian forests are not publicly available, FesT was validated by comparing projected forest age structure with results of Global Forest Model (G4M).The comparison shows that the projections of both models are fairly close to each other. The divergence between the results can be explained by difference in forest management modelling approach.


Keywords


forest management; linear programming; age structure; forest value; forest management model; dynamic recursive model

Full Text:

PDF

References


Buongiorno, J., Gilless, K. J. (2003). Decision Methods for Forest Management. San Diego: Academic Press, 439.

Pretzsch, H. (2009). Forest Dynamics, Growth and Yield. From Measurement to Model. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 664. doi: 10.1007/978-3-540-88307-4

Fontes, L., Bontemps, J.-D., Bugmann, H., Oijen, M. Van, Gracia, C., Kramer, K. et. al. (2010). Models for supporting forest management in a changing environment. Forest Systems, 3 (4), 8–29. doi: 10.5424/fs/201019S-9315

Amacher, G., Ollikainen, M., Koskela, E. (2009). Economics of Forest Resources. Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 423.

Baskent, E. Z., Keles, S. (2005). Spatial forest planning: A review. Ecological Modelling, 188 (2-4), 145–173. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.059

Sjølie, H. K., Latta, G. S., Trømborg, E., Bolkesjø, T. F., Solberg, B. (2015). An assessment of forest sector modeling approaches: conceptual differences and quantitative comparison. Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research, 30 (1), 60–72. doi: 10.1080/02827581.2014.999822

McDill, M. E. (1999). Forest Value. In M.E. McDill, Forest Resources Management. Available at: https://www.courses.psu.edu/for/for466w_mem14/PDFs/Ch7_ForestValue.PDF

Gusti, M., Kindermann, G. (2011). An approach to modeling landuse change and forest management on a global scale. Proceedings, 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2011). Noordwijkerhout, 180–185.

Havlík, P., Schneider, U. A., Schmid, E., Böttcher, H., Fritz, S., Skalský, R. et. al. (2011). Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets. Energy Policy, 39 (10), 5690–5702. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030

FAO (2015). Forestry Production and Trade. Retrieved from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations: Statistics Division. Available at: http://faostat3.fao.org/browse/F/FO/E

Gusti, M. I. (2010). An algorithm for simulation of forest management decisions in the global forest model. Artificial Intelligence, 4, 45–49.

State agency of forest resources of Ukraine (2015). Retrieved from State agency of forest resources of Ukraine. Available at: http://dklg.kmu.gov.ua/forest/control/uk/index


GOST Style Citations


Buongiorno, J. Decision Methods for Forest Management [Text] / J. Buongiorno, K. J. Gilless. – San Diego: Academic Press, 2003. – 439 p.

Pretzsch, H. Forest dynamics, growth and yield. From Measurement to Model [Text] / H. Pretzsch – Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 2009. – 664 p. doi: 10.1007/978-3-540-88307-4

Fontes, L. Models for supporting forest management in a changing environment [Text] / L. Fontes, J. Bontemps, H. Bugmann, M. Van Oijen, C. Gracia, K. Kramer et al. // Forest Systems. – 2010. – Vol. 3, Issue 4. – P. 8–29. doi: 10.5424/fs/201019S-9315

Amacher, G. Economics of Forest Resources [Text] / G. Amacher, M. Ollikainen, E. Koskela. – Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 2009. – 423 p.

Basket, E. Spatial forest planning: a review [Text] / E. Basket, S. Keles // Ecological Modelling. – 2005. – Vol. 188, Issue 2-4. – P. 145–173. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.059

Sjølie, H. An assessment of forest sector modeling approach: conceptual differences and quantitative comparison [Text] / H. Sjølie, G. Latta, E. Trømborg et al. // Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research. – 2015. – Vol. 30, Issue 1. – P. 60–72. doi: 10.1080/02827581.2014.999822

McDill, M. E. The forest value - land and trees [Electronic resource] / M.E. McDill. – Forest resource management. – 1999. – Available at: https://www.courses.psu.edu/for/for466w_mem14/PDFs/Ch7_ForestValue.PDF

Gusti, M. An approach to modeling landuse change and forest management on a global scale [Text] / M. Gusti, G. Kindermann // Proceedings, 1st International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2011). – Noordwijkerhout, 2011. – P. 180–185.

Havlik, P. Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets [Text] / P. Havlik, U. A. Schneider, E. Schmid, H. Böttcher, S. Fritz, R. Skalský et. al. // Energy Policy. – 2011. – Vol. 39, Issue 10. – P. 5690–5702. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations: Statistics Division [Electronic resource]. — 2015. — Available at: http://faostat3.fao.org/home/E

Gusti, M. I. An algorithm for simulation of forest management decisions in the Global Forest Model [Text] / M. I. Gusti // Artificial Intelligence. – 2010. – № 4. – С. 45–49.

State agency of forest resources of Ukraine [Electronic resource]. – State agency of forest resources of Ukraine, 2015. – Available at: http://dklg.kmu.gov.ua/forest/control/uk/index



DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.50966

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Copyright (c) 2015 Mykola Gusti, Olga Turkovska, Lauri Pekka, Nicklas Forsell, Petr Havlík, Michael Obersteiner

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

ISSN (print) 1729-3774, ISSN (on-line) 1729-4061