Information technology for prediction historical dynamic with controlled world model

Authors

  • Ігор Олександрович Свергуненко National Technical University “Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute” 21 Frunze str, Kharkiv, Ukraine, 61002, Ukraine
  • Василь Лаврентійович Лисицький National Technical University “Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute” 21 Frunze str, Kharkiv, Ukraine, 61002, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.12348

Keywords:

Information technology, prediction, historical dynamics, model of controlled world, global system

Abstract

The article relates to the prediction of the development of the global system and the national economy, taking into account the influence of the dynamics of global processes. The main purpose of the study is the development of information technology for prediction of historical dynamics of the global system and the national economy, using the methodology of system dynamics and capabilities of models of the controlled world, the detection of the global problems on its basis and prediction of the dynamics of their development.
This article discusses approaches to the analysis of economic processes and the methodologies of their prediction. The article represents an information technology of long-term prediction of the historical dynamics based on the simulation model, which integrates a modified model of the global dynamics and model of controlled world, capable of reliable reflection of the historical dynamics of the global processes of the global system and separate states. The software implementation provides forward trajectories of global processes development. The research results can be applied to detect global problems on a global level and on the level of an individual national economy that will permit to choose effective ways of solutions of global problems

Author Biographies

Ігор Олександрович Свергуненко, National Technical University “Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute” 21 Frunze str, Kharkiv, Ukraine, 61002

Student

Department of Computer Aided Management Systems

Василь Лаврентійович Лисицький, National Technical University “Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute” 21 Frunze str, Kharkiv, Ukraine, 61002

Candidate of technical science, associate professor.

Department of Computer Aided Management Systems

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Published

2013-04-25

How to Cite

Свергуненко, І. О., & Лисицький, В. Л. (2013). Information technology for prediction historical dynamic with controlled world model. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 2(2(62), 11–14. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.12348

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 2(62) (2013): Information technology

Section

Information technology

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Copyright (c) 2014 Ігор Олександрович Свергуненко, Василь Лаврентійович Лисицький

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