The regularities of demand formation on passenger transport service
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2013.16271Keywords:
transport region, original destination matrix, simulation experiment, regulation lawAbstract
The results of studies to determine the regularities of the demand of the population of large cities in Ukraine for urban passenger transport are shown. It is known that the mapping of movement is the demand for passenger correspondence matrix, which is usually calculated by the gravity models. These models do not allow a high degree of accuracy and reliability of information about the mobility needs of the urban population. In this regard, it is suggested to model the demand in a range that ensures the presence of a significant embodiment passenger correspondence matrix. The process of formation is considered as a stochastic demand, based on what the algorithm simulation model of the formation of the matrix of options passenger correspondence has been made.
As a result of experimental studies it has been obtained regularities of change in the value of the passenger transport work in various states of demand for travel. In addition it has been obtained the regularity of change of medium-range of travel distance and found it the most probability value. The resulting distribution law of the transport work has a very low variance and coefficient of variation. It is possible to considerably reduce the interval close to the real version of the O-D matrix by eliminating from consideration the extreme variants of it states.
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