Predicting the course of atopic dermatitis in children using discrete simulation of dynamic systems
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2014.24878Keywords:
predicting, atopic dermatitis, dynamic system, discrete simulation, Spearman's correlation matricesAbstract
The authors propose an approach to predicting the course of atopic dermatitis (AD) using discrete simulation of dynamic systems (DSDS) based on the previously selected informative features, which allows to reveal hidden relationships between them and determine the nature of the AD course in children.For this, an array of observations is formed of prognostic factors, such as itch intensity, severity of the morphological elements of rash, prevalence of skin formations, ranked IgE index value. After that, the Spearman's correlation matrices between the parameters of the array of observations and rows of the minor of the dynamic system trajectory array are calculated.Then, the value of the function of distance between objects is minimized, the conditional-reference trajectory of the system for each parameter is built.Further, the system change pitch, which characterizes the patient's condition control points is found.Later, during individual examination of patients, their prognostic factors are recorded and compared with conventional-reference trajectory, defining the site, corresponding to the patient's condition at a certain time.The data-based trajectory allows to select a prognostic working hypothesis and determine the amount and mode of treatment for children with AD.References
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Copyright (c) 2014 Елена Владимировна Высоцкая, Андрей Павлович Порван, Юрий Гаврилович Беспалов, Константин Валентинович Носов, Виктория Анатольевна Клименко, Алексей Алексеевич Трубицын
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