System analysis of natural- technogenic safety elements of the largest ukrainian hydro-complexes

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.49270

Keywords:

Ukrainian hydro-complexes, threat factors, integral danger index, threat prevention measures

Abstract

Issues of natural-technogenic safety (NTS) of hydro-complexes is an important component of the national security system of the country, and operative decision-making in this area is one of the major factors of sustainable development of Ukraine. At the same time, the problem of different subordination of the hydro-complex parts, inherent in Ukraine makes it difficult, and sometimes impossible to operatively estimate the real safety of the complex engineering facilities for further management decision-making.

The aim of the research was to develop an effective, representative and easy to use method for multi-criteria integrated assessment of NTS problems at 18 largest Ukrainian hydro-complexes as complex natural-industrial geological-engineering systems.

The expert method of pairwise comparisons in combination with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used in the research.

The values of the integral danger index (IDI) and priority measures to prevent threats to NTS were defined for each of the studied facilities. Also, the global priorities of factors and prevention measures for all of the studied facilities in general were identified.

Expert surveys were conducted in 2003 and in 2013. The data obtained allowed to track trends and changes in estimating the situation in the area of operation of the largest Ukrainian hydro-complexes in the long retrospective.

Author Biography

Даніель Емілович Бенатов, National Technical University of Ukraine “KPI” Peremogy ave.37, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03056

Senior lecturer

Ecology and Plant Polymers Technology Department

References

  1. Suchasnyj stan, problemy ta perspektyvy rozvytku gidroenergetyky Ukrai'ny Analitychna dopovid' (2014). Kyiv: NISD, 54.
  2. Palamarchuk, M. M. (2001). Vodnyj fond Ukrai'ny. Kyiv: Nika-Centr, 388.
  3. Dam Safety and Environment (1990). World Bank Technical Paper, 115.
  4. Hoeg, K. (1998). New dam safety legislation and the use of risk analysis. Int. Journal on Hydropower and Dams, 5, 85–88.
  5. Beshelev, S. D., Gurvich, F. G. (1980). Matematiko-statisticheskie metody ekspertnyh ocenok. Moscow: Statistika, 263.
  6. Veksler, A. B., Stefanishin, D. V. (2002). Nadezhnost', social'naja i jekologicheskaja bezopasnost' gidrotehnicheskih ob’ektov: ocenka riska i prinjatija reshenij. St. Petersburg: Izdatelstvovo OAO «VNIIG im. B. E. Vedeneeva», 592.
  7. Kachyns'kyj, A. B., Agarkova, N. V., Benatov, D. E. (2001). Ekspertnyj metod porivnjal'noi' ocinky pryrodno-tehnogennoi' nebezpeky regioniv Ukrai'ny. Naukovi visti of National Technical University of Ukraine "Kyiv Polytechnic Institute", 6, 39–46.
  8. Gohman, O. G. (1991). Ekspertnoe ocenivanie. Voronezh: Izdatelstvo Voronezhskogo universiteta, 152.
  9. Saati, T. (1989). Prinjatie reshenij metodom analiza ierarhij. Moscow: Radio i svjaz', 278.
  10. Terano, T. (1988). Using the analytic hierarchy process in frame based expert systems. Proceeding of Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Tianjin university. Tianjin, China, 638–645
  11. Yasser, M., Jahangir, K., Mohmmad, A. (2013). Earth dam site selection using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP): a case study in the west of Iran. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 6 (9), 3417–3426. doi: 10.1007/s12517-012-0602-x
  12. Badenko, N. V., Vaksova, E. I., Ivanov, T. S., Lomonosov, A. A., Nikonova, O. G., Petroshenko, M. V. (2014). Ocenka perspektivnosti gidrojenergeticheskogo stroitel'stva v regionah RF na osnove metoda analiza ierarhij. Magazine of Civil Engineering, 4, 39–48.
  13. Kachins'kij, A. B. (1995). Sistemnij analіz viznachennja prіoritetіv v ekologіchnіj bezpecі Ukrayny. Naukovі dopovіdі NІSD, 42, 47.
  14. Benatov, D. E. (2001). Creation of a mathematical nature-man-caused safety model of Ukrainian hydrosystems by means of a hierarchy analysis method. Symposium for European Freshwater Sciences. Toulouse, 12.
  15. Benatov, D. E. (2002). Faktory, shho zagrozhujut' pryrodno-tehnogennij bezpeci gidrovuzliv, i'h analiz ta mehanizmy zapobigannja. Ekotehnologii' ta resursozberezhennja, 3, 8–12.
  16. Benatov, D. E. (2003). Zastosuvannja metodu analizu ijerarhij (MAI) dlja porivnjal'noi' ocinky faktoriv zagroz pryrodno-tehnogennij bezpeci gidrovuzliv Ukrai'ny ta zahodiv i'h zapobigannja. Ekotehnologii' ta resursozberezhennja, 4, 52–58.
  17. Gogoberidze, M. I. (191). Metodika organizacii kompleksnoj jekspertizy hozjajstvennyh ob’ektov. Gidrotehnicheskoe stroitel'stvo, 7, 41–46.
  18. Ataev, S. V., Stefanishin, D. V., Romanjuk, L. S., Anіsіmov, O. J. (2007). Ocіnka vplivu na navkolishnє seredovishhe budіvnictva gіdrovіdvalu rozkrivnih porіd Zdolbunіvs'kogo kar’єru krejdi VAT «Volin'cement». Vіsnik of National University of Water and Nature, 3 (39), 3–13.
  19. Anishhenko, L. J. (2011). Kompleksna ocinka vplyviv i upravlinnja ekologichnoju bezpekoju protjazhnyh gidrotehnichnyh sporud. Kharkiv, 37.
  20. Bysoveckyj, J. A., Tretjak, K. R., Shhuchyk, E. S. (2011) Avtomatyzacyja geodezycheskyh nabljudenyj za gydrotehnycheskymy sooruzhenyjamy gydroelektrostancyj Ukrgydroenergo. Gidroenergetyka Ukrai'ny, 2, 45–51.

Downloads

Published

2015-10-19

How to Cite

Бенатов, Д. Е. (2015). System analysis of natural- technogenic safety elements of the largest ukrainian hydro-complexes. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 5(10(77), 12–21. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.49270

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 10(77) (2015): Ecology

Section

Ecology

License

Copyright (c) 2015 Даніель Емілович Бенатов

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

The consolidation and conditions for the transfer of copyright (identification of authorship) is carried out in the License Agreement. In particular, the authors reserve the right to the authorship of their manuscript and transfer the first publication of this work to the journal under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY license. At the same time, they have the right to conclude on their own additional agreements concerning the non-exclusive distribution of the work in the form in which it was published by this journal, but provided that the link to the first publication of the article in this journal is preserved.

A license agreement is a document in which the author warrants that he/she owns all copyright for the work (manuscript, article, etc.).
The authors, signing the License Agreement with TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC, have all rights to the further use of their work, provided that they link to our edition in which the work was published.
According to the terms of the License Agreement, the Publisher TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC does not take away your copyrights and receives permission from the authors to use and dissemination of the publication through the world's scientific resources (own electronic resources, scientometric databases, repositories, libraries, etc.).
In the absence of a signed License Agreement or in the absence of this agreement of identifiers allowing to identify the identity of the author, the editors have no right to work with the manuscript.
It is important to remember that there is another type of agreement between authors and publishers – when copyright is transferred from the authors to the publisher. In this case, the authors lose ownership of their work and may not use it in any way.