Modeling the development of complex structures on the example of the maritime industry

Authors

  • Наталья Анатольевна Логунова Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea, Russian Federation https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5686-4081
  • Сергей Григорьевич Черный Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea, Russian Federation https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-3260
  • Анна Юрьевна Семенова Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea, Russian Federation
  • Инна Викторовна Антипенко Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea, Russian Federation https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4301-5056

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.56030

Keywords:

cruise tourism, econometric dependence, direct revenues, productivity, tourist destination

Abstract

We have justified the prospects of the integrated development of cruise tourism in Ukraine and emphasized the necessity of a detailed study of the international experience of the leading tourist cruise destinations and its implementation in the national cruise industry. We have determined the parameters that influence the productivity of the enterprises and organizations involved in the creation of the cruise tourism product and affect their dynamics and competitiveness.

The designed economic mathematical model for the effects of the strategic development of cruise tourism establishes the econometric dependence of the rate of direct revenues from cruise tourism on the economic, social and resource factors. This model can serve as a base for prognosing the development rate of cruise tourism in a lack of statistical information and justifying the major directions of economic policy in the tourism sector. The desired rate of the national cruise tourism is simulated on the basis of the parameters of the derived regression equation via the geometric interpretation of actual achievements of the Ukrainian cruise market and possible changes of these results if some of the factors (the rate of productivity, capital investments in the tourism sector, or the number of tourists who prefer cruises) vary.

We have proved that the development of cruise tourism is mostly affected by the factors such as: the degree of the labor productivity that is directly related to the level of the employees’ professional competence, and investments in the facilities of the port, tourism and related infrastructures, which requires a set of appropriate measures aimed at the development of the key components.

Author Biographies

Наталья Анатольевна Логунова, Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea

Professor, Doctor of economical sciences

Department of Business Economy

Сергей Григорьевич Черный, Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea

Ph.D., Associate Professor

Department of Electrical and Automation vessels 

Анна Юрьевна Семенова, Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea

AssistantDepartment of Ecology Sea

Инна Викторовна Антипенко, Federal State Educational Institution of Higher Education "Kerch State Maritime Technological University" st. Ordzhonikidze 82 , Kerch , Crimea

AssistantDepartment of Business Economy

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Published

2015-12-22

How to Cite

Логунова, Н. А., Черный, С. Г., Семенова, А. Ю., & Антипенко, И. В. (2015). Modeling the development of complex structures on the example of the maritime industry. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 6(2(78), 37–46. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.56030

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 2(78) (2015): Industry control systems

Section

Industry control systems

License

Copyright (c) 2015 Наталья Анатольевна Логунова, Сергей Григорьевич Черный, Анна Юрьевна Семенова, Инна Викторовна Антипенко

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