Development of a procedure for expert estimation of capabilities in defense planning under multicriterial conditions

Authors

  • Oleksandr Nesterenko Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Chokolovsky Boulevard, 13, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03186, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5329-889X
  • Igor Netesin Ukrainian Scientific Center for Development of Information Technologies Akademika Hlushkova ave., 44, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03680, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1236-287X
  • Valery Polischuk Ukrainian Scientific Center for Development of Information Technologies Akademika Hlushkova ave., 44, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03680, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6991-0617
  • Oleksandr Trofymchuk Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Chokolovsky Boulevard, 13, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03186, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3358-6274

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2020.208603

Keywords:

information technologies, multicriterial analysis, ontology, analytical hierarchy process, directed graphs, capabilities, defense planning

Abstract

Improving the decision-making efficiency in defense planning based on the capabilities of military forces and means for performing purposeful tasks requires new methodological approaches and their implementation in the form of software information-analytical tools. Given the complex information environment of defense planning, it is appropriate for the variants of capabilities development options to be chosen by experts on the methodological basis of multicriterial analysis.

The research result is the development of a procedure, in which it is proposed to generate criteria and evaluate alternative options by integrating ontology, the Analytical Hierarchy Process, and the method of directed graphs. The ontological representation of the data ensures the construction of the hierarchical taxonomy of a domain and the formation of the criteria vector. The Analytical Hierarchy Process is used to conduct an expert evaluation of capabilities by their pairwise comparison against determined criteria. Experts’ judgments are visualized and controlled using directed graphs. Application of the procedure will make it possible to ensure efficiency, versatility, and simplicity of technical implementation of a procedure of decision making support. The procedure was tested on the example of choosing a capability to conduct reconnaissance for the benefit of ground artillery. It was shown that the evaluation process in the expert activity is considerably simplified due to the graph visualization.

The proposed procedure introduces an innovative tool to achieve strategic goals and accomplish the basic tasks of the defense reform, which is relevant for many countries. The versatility of the procedure creates the basis for its application not only in defense but also in other force departments

Author Biographies

Oleksandr Nesterenko, Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Chokolovsky Boulevard, 13, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03186

PhD, Associate Professor

Department of Integrated Research

Igor Netesin, Ukrainian Scientific Center for Development of Information Technologies Akademika Hlushkova ave., 44, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03680

PhD

Department of Analytical Research

Valery Polischuk, Ukrainian Scientific Center for Development of Information Technologies Akademika Hlushkova ave., 44, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03680

PhD

Department of Analytical Research

Oleksandr Trofymchuk, Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Chokolovsky Boulevard, 13, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03186

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine

Department of Natural Resources

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Published

2020-08-31

How to Cite

Nesterenko, O., Netesin, I., Polischuk, V., & Trofymchuk, O. (2020). Development of a procedure for expert estimation of capabilities in defense planning under multicriterial conditions. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 4(2 (106), 33–43. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2020.208603