Ecological aspects in economic structure development in Northern Sea of Azov region
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31498/2225-6733.31.2015.73103Keywords:
Forecasting, environment, investment, industry, level of contamination, the standard of living, dynamic simulation, ecological capacityAbstract
A comparative analysis of the quantitative model following the patterns of ecological development under the conditions of a free economic zone in the region of Northern Sea of Azov has been performed. The proportions and the annual growth rate of investment in the steel industry and alternative sectors of economy and their impact on the pollution level in the region have been defined. It has been shown that creation of the project of free economic zone in industrially developed regions must be followed by not only calculations of the investment policy economic efficiency, but also by the obligatory analysis of its influence on the level of ecological and social wellbeing of the population as well. Estimated data in proportions of investment policy in the region, ecologically safe and directed on welfare growth of the population have been defined on the basis of the analysis of the numerical model made up with the use of J. Forrester dynamic simulation technique and adapted for basic economic conditions. Problems of further researches are: refinement of some relationships to be able to calculate levels and rates dynamics of ecological and social blocks of the model to create the program of a steady development of Northern Sea of Azov regionReferences
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