Development of an estimation-experimental method for estimating the preservation indicators of single-use articles

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2021.248291

Keywords:

preservation indicators, single-use articles, operation management, point assessment, interval estimate

Abstract

To manage the operation of modern single-use products, it is necessary to evaluate their preservation indicators as uncontrolled, non-repairable, and maintenance-free objects. Data for assessing its parameters are considered as one-time censored samples with continuous monitoring, which does not correspond to the mode of storage of products during operation. Under the conditions of limited volumes of censored samples, it is problematic to identify the parametric model of persistence.

To solve this problem, a non-parametric estimation-experimental method has been devised, which is a set of models for data generation, estimation of the function of the distribution of the preservation period and preservation indicators.

The data generation model is represented by a scheme of operational tests and analytical relationships between the quantities of tested and failed articles. The model of estimating the distribution function describes the process of its construction on the generated data. Models for estimating preservation indicators are represented by ratios for their point and interval estimates, as functionals from the restored distribution function. Unlike the well-known ones, the developed method implements the assessment of indicators under the conditions of combined censorship.

The method can be used to assess the preservation indicators of single-use articles with an error of at least 7 %. At the same time, their lower confidence limits are estimated at 0.9 with an error not worse than 14 % with a censorship degree of not more than 0.23. The restored distribution function agrees well (reliability 0.9, error 0.1) with the actual persistence of articles with censorship degrees of not more than 0.73, which is acceptable for solving the problems of managing their operation.

Author Biographies

Boris Lanetskii, Ivan Kozhedub Kharkiv National Air Force University

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Leading Researcher

Research Department for the Development of the WME System of Air Force Air Defense Forces of Air Force Science Center

Vadym Lukianchuk, Ivan Kozhedub Kharkiv National Air Force University

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Senior Researcher, Head of Department

Research Department for the Development of the WME System of Air Force Air Defense Forces of Air Force Science Center

Igor Koval, The National Defence University of Ukraine named after Ivan Cherniakhovskyi

PhD, Senior Researcher

Department of Anti-Aircraft Missile Troops

Hennadii Khudov, Ivan Kozhedub Kharkiv National Air Force University

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Head of Department

Department of Radar Troops Tactic

Andrii Hordiienko, Ivan Kozhedub Kharkiv National Air Force University

PhD, Head of Department

Research Department of Development, Training and Application of the of Air Defense Forces of the Air Force Science Center

Oleksii Zvieriev, Central Scientific Research Institute of Armament and Military Equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

PhD, Associate Professor, Researcher

Scientific Research Department of Development of Surface-to-Air Missile Systems and Complexes of the Air Force

Oleh Shknai, Central Scientific Research Institute of Armament and Military Equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

PhD, Leading Researcher

Directorate for Scientific Research of Armament and Military Equipment of the Air Force

Vadym Kozlov, Central Scientific Research Institute of Armament and Military Equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

PhD, Deputy Chief

Scientific Research Department of Development of Surface-to-Air Missile Systems and Complexes

Danylo Bieliaiev, Central Scientific Research Institute of Armament and Military Equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

PhD, Leading Researcher

Scientific Research Department of Development of Surface-to-Air Missile Systems and Complexes

Alexandr Grechka, The National Defence University of Ukraine named after Ivan Cherniakhovskyi

Researcher

Department of Anti-Aircraft Missile Troops

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Published

2021-12-29

How to Cite

Lanetskii, B., Lukianchuk, V., Koval, I., Khudov, H., Hordiienko, A., Zvieriev, O., Shknai, O. ., Kozlov, V. ., Bieliaiev, D., & Grechka, A. (2021). Development of an estimation-experimental method for estimating the preservation indicators of single-use articles. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 6(3 (114), 18–35. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2021.248291

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 3 (114) (2021): Control processes

Section

Control processes

License

Copyright (c) 2021 Boris Lanetskii, Vadym Lukianchuk, Igor Koval, Hennadii Khudov, Andrii Hordiienko, Oleksii Zvieriev, Oleh Shknai, Vadym Kozlov, Danylo Bieliaiev, Alexandr Grechka

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