Development of an algorithm for the transition of civil aviation to ecologically clean aviation fuel

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2024.310455

Keywords:

algorithm for the transition of aviation to environmentally friendly fuel, decarburization of aviation, carbon footprint of aviation

Abstract

The object of the study is the process of decarbonization of civil aviation by switching to environmentally friendly fuels, which is relevant for the majority of countries in the world seeking to reduce the carbon footprint of air transport. The study uses methods that comply with international standards, which allowed to draw conclusions applicable in a global context. Due to their features and characteristics, the results of the study made it possible to form a clear idea of the global industry program to reduce and offset carbon emissions, as well as to establish the level of readiness of the civil aviation of the Republic of Kazakhstan and related industries to switch to alternative types of aviation fuel. The constructed mathematical models of the dependence of the efficiency indicator Y (carbon footprint level) on a set of factor features Xi and made it possible to prove the presence of multicollinearity in the array of mutually independent factors affecting the efficiency indicator Y, as well as to prioritize them based on the strength of their influence on the size of the carbon footprint of air transportation. It is emphasized that the process of switching aviation to bio- and synthetic aviation fuel is complicated by the lack of a Strategy and related documents on the implementation of activities related to the transition of aviation to new generation fuels. The key points of constructing the algorithm for the transition of civil aviation to environmentally friendly fuel have been identified, which ensured the construction of its simulation model. The practical application of the proposed algorithm for the transition of civil aviation to new-generation fuel should become the fundamental basis for the formation of the country's Roadmap for the transition of aviation to SAF and LCAF

Supporting Agency

  • The study was conducted within the framework of the project of the Grant Committee for Science of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Republic of Kazakhstan AP13268774 «Analysis of effectiveness of introducing state language methodology improvement into civil aviation industry of Kazakhstan Republic and linguistic problems research».

Author Biographies

Kayrat Koshekov, Civil Aviation Academy

Doctor of technical science, Professor

Department of Science

Fariza Lekerova, Civil Aviation Academy

Master, PhD Student

Department of Science

Raziyam Anayatova, Civil Aviation Academy

PhD

Department of Aviation English

Abay Koshekov, Civil Aviation Academy

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Department of Aviation Technique and Technologies

Kazbek Aldamzharov, Civil Aviation Academy

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor

Department of Aviation Technique and Technologies

Kayrat Zhakupov, Civil Aviation Academy

Candidate of Technical Sciences

Department of Science

References

  1. CORSIA Central Registry (CCR): Information and Data for Transparency. Available at: https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Documents/CCR%20Info%20Data%20Transparency_PartII_Oct2022.pdf
  2. Second ICAO Conference on Aviation and Alternative Fuels (CAAF2). Available at: https://www.icao.int/Meetings/CAAF2/Pages/default.aspx
  3. ICAO Conference on Sustainable Alternative Fuels Agrees New Vision to 2050 to Guide Future Development and Deployment. ICAO: Press Release. Available at: https://www.icao.int/Newsroom/NewsDoc2017fix/COM.64.17.RU.pdf
  4. Developing an ICAO Concept: Industry Perspectives. Third ICAO Conference on Aviation and Alternative Fuels (CAAF/3). United Arab Emirates. Available at: https://atag.org/media/lhbihlak/caaf3wp0335ru.pdf
  5. Chiaramonti, D. (2019). Sustainable Aviation Fuels: the challenge of decarbonization. Energy Procedia, 158, 1202–1207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2019.01.308
  6. Jiang, C., D’Alfonso, T., Post, J. (2024). Aviation decarbonization – Policies and technologies to support decarbonization of the aviation sector. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 127, 104055. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2024.104055
  7. Huang, F., Zhang, T., Wang, Q., Zhou, D. (2023). CO2 emission change in China’s aviation industry: A fleet-wide index decomposition and scenario analysis. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 119, 103743. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2023.103743
  8. Nakano, Y., Sano, F., Akimoto, K. (2022). Impacts of decarbonization technologies in air transport on the global energy system. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 110, 103417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103417
  9. Bardon, P., Massol, O., (2023). Decarbonizing Aviation with Sustainable Aviation Fuels: Myths and Realities of the Roadmaps to Net Zero by 2050. Available at: https://ifp.hal.science/hal-04271439
  10. Braun, M., Grimme, W., Oesingmann, K. (2024). Pathway to net zero: Reviewing sustainable aviation fuels, environmental impacts and pricing. Journal of Air Transport Management, 117, 102580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102580
  11. Gao, Z., Kampezidou, S. I., Behere, A., Puranik, T. G., Rajaram, D., Mavris, D. N. (2022). Multi-level aircraft feature representation and selection for aviation environmental impact analysis. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 143, 103824. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2022.103824
  12. Kharas, H., Fengler, W., Vashold, L. (2023). Have we reached peak greenhouse gas emissions? BROOKINGS. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/have-we-reached-peak-greenhouse-gas-emissions/
  13. . Kazakhstan ranks 20th in the world in carbon dioxide emissions. Available at: https://www.inform.kz/ru/kazahstan-zanimaet-20-mesto-v-mire-po-vybrosam-uglekislogo-gaza_a3945128
  14. Kazakhstan's prospects for achieving carbon neutrality. Available at: https://qazaqgreen.com/en/journal-qazaqgreen/expert-opinion/596/
  15. Paris Climate Agreement. Available at: https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/paris_agreement_russian_.pdf
  16. Industry Views on Achieving a Long-Term Climate Goal for Aviation. ICAO Assembly 41st Session Working Paper. Available at: https://www.icao.int/Meetings/a41/Documents/WP/wp_466_ru.pdf?task=download&id=1192:wp_466_ru
  17. Third conference on aviation and alternative fuels (CAAF/3). Available at: https://www.icao.int/Meetings/CAAF3/Statements/AFCAC.pdf
  18. Feasibility report on a long-term aspirational goal (LTAG) for emissions reductions for international aviation (2022). ICAO Aviation Environmental Protection Committee. Available at: https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/LTAG/Documents/REPORT%20ON%20THE%20FEASIBILITY%20OF%20A%20LONG-TERM%20ASPIRATIONAL%20GOAL_ru.pdf
  19. AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Available at: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-cycle/
  20. Assembly Resolution A41−22: Consolidated statement of continuing ICAO policies and practices related to environmental protection − Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA), adopted by the 41st Session of the ICAO Assembly (27.09–07.10 2022). Available at: https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Documents/Resolution_A41-22_CORSIA.pdf
  21. Assembly - 40th. Executive Committee. Agenda Item 17: Environmental Protection – Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) session. Available at: https://www.icao.int/Meetings/A40/Documents/WP/wp_228_en.pdf
  22. Astana Joins Forces with ICAO on Sustainable Jet Fuel. OILCAPITAL. 2024. Available at: https://oilcapital.ru/news/2024-05-14/astana-ob-edinyaet-sily-s-ikao-po-ustoychivomu-aviakerosinu-5081410
  23. The First Kazakhstan Aviation Talks focus on reducing emissions in the aviation industry. Available at: https://caa.gov.kz/en/blog/post/first-kazakhstan-aviation-talks-focus-reducing-emissions-aviation-industry
  24. CORSIA Central Registry (CCR). Available at: https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Pages/CCR.aspx
  25. Vaal, T. (2023). Kazakhstan to open nine more international routes this year. Authorities. Available at: https://vlast.kz/novosti/55286-kazahstan-v-etom-godu-otkroet-ese-devat-mezdunarodnyh-marsrutov.html
  26. AirFleets.net. Available at: https://www.airfleets.net/recherche/list-country-Qazakhstan_0.htm
  27. Annual Report 2015. Available at: https://ir.airastana.com/media/pakpv2qj/annual_report_2015_ru.pdf
  28. Growth Strategy – Looking Ahead. Available at: https://ar2018.airastana.com/rus/pdf/AirAstana%20AR2018%20-%20%D0%A1%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%B3%D0%B8%D1%8F%20%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0.pdf
  29. Moving Forward with Purpose and Confidence. Available at: https://ir.airastana.com/media/8dc27ed2d0b9fd2/%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B9-%D0%BE%D1%82%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%82-%D0%B7%D0%B0-2022-%D0%B3.pdf
  30. Reaching New Heights. Available at: https://ir.airastana.com/media/8dc690853839599/%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B9-%D0%BE%D1%82%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%82-%D0%B7%D0%B0-2023-%D0%B3.pdf
  31. Air Astana fleet growth ahead of track. Available at: https://www.flightglobal.com/airlines/air-astana-fleet-growth-ahead-of-track/159468.article
  32. The results of the 3rd ICAO international conference on alternative aviation fuels CAAF/3 and proposals for a roadmap for Russia will be discussed at the XIII Eurasian international aviation fuel forum. Available at: https://transport-strategy.org/news/news_post/itogi-3-j-mezhdunarodnoj-konferencii-ikao-po-alternativnym-vidam-aviacionnogo-topliva-caaf-3-i-predlozheniya-po-dorozhnoj-karte-dlya-rossii-obsudyat-na-xiii-evrazijskom-mezhdunarodnom-forume-aviatopliv
  33. Waypoint 2050. Available at: https://aviationbenefits.org/environmental-efficiency/climate-action/waypoint-2050/
  34. European aviation industry welcomes CAAF/3 agreement on Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF). Available at: https://www.aci-europe.org/downloads/mediaroom/23-11-27%20European%20aviation%20industry%20welcomes%20CAAF3%20agreement%20on%20Sustainable%20Aviation%20Fuels%20SAF%20PRESS%20RELEASE.pdf
  35. Financing the Energy Transition in Aviation: An Industry Perspective. Third ICAO Aviation and Alternative Fuels Conference (CAAF/3). Dubai. Available at: https://www.icao.int/Meetings/CAAF3/Documents/CAAF.3.WP.034.2.ru.pdf
  36. Pushchik, E. (2023). Will SAF production be organized in Kazakhstan? Available at: https://inbusiness.kz/ru/author_news/budet-li-organizovano-proizvodstvo-saf-v-kazahstane
  37. Kazakhstan will start producing environmentally friendly aviation fuel. Available at: https://kazpravda.kz/n/kazahstan-nachnet-proizvodit-ekologichnoe-aviatoplivo/
  38. Tkachenko, A., Levchenko, N., Pozhuieva, T., Sevastyanov, R., Levchenko, S. (2023). Modified assessment methodology ESG competitiveness of enterprises to a new generation of investors. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1254 (1), 012126. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1254/1/012126
  39. Lekerova, F., Koshekov, K., Alibekkyzy, K., Belginova, S., Bygubayeva, A., Ismailova, R. (2023). Digital twin of the quality management system for environmental control of the near-airdom environment. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology, 101 (12).
Development of an algorithm for the transition of civil aviation to ecologically clean aviation fuel

Downloads

Published

2024-08-30

How to Cite

Koshekov, K., Lekerova, F., Anayatova, R., Koshekov, A., Aldamzharov, K., & Zhakupov, K. (2024). Development of an algorithm for the transition of civil aviation to ecologically clean aviation fuel. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 4(10 (130), 6–20. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2024.310455