Development of risk assessment methodology for emergency losses in the regions of Ukraine
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.43070Keywords:
regional security, natural and man-made threats, risk, emergencies, sources of threats, economic lossesAbstract
Assessment of actual natural and man-made threats to regional security in Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Zakarpattia and Chernivtsi regions was performed. Basic risk factors of emergencies in the regions of Western Ukraine were analyzed. The risk assessment methodology for losses from natural and man-made emergencies at the regional level that allows to increase the effectiveness of comparative analysis of natural and technogenic safety in the administrative regions of Ukraine was developed. This will allow more reasonably determine the acceptable risk level of emergencies for each of them, effectively allocate the available material and financial resources among regions to prevent the negative consequences of emergencies, which generally provides tangible safety improvement of the person, production facilities and environment under different emergencies that may occur in Ukraine. The evaluation and analysis of the risk dynamics of losses from different emergencies in the regions of Western Ukraine were carried out. The results of the risk assessment of losses from natural and technogenic emergencies in the regions of Western Ukraine, indicating the dominant nature of natural threats, which is also an integral factor in the ecological security deterioration were analyzed. The data show that the economic risk of natural emergencies significantly exceeds the risk of man-made emergencies. In general, this indicates the insufficient level of readiness of the natural emergency prevention and response system not only in western regions, but also in Ukraine on the whole.
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