Developing a method for prediction of relapsing myocardial infarction based on interpolation diagnostic polynomial
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2016.81004Keywords:
method of prediction, relapsing myocardial infarction, ordinal classification of states, diagnostic interpolation diagnostic polynomialAbstract
In this paper, based on the estimations of expert opinions of the persons who make decisions, we determined a set of criteria for evaluation of the states of patients and of the classes of possible states for predicting the relapsing myocardial infarction. We propose a method for predicting the relapsing myocardial infarction on the basis of the designed interpolation diagnostic polynomial to determine the probability of occurence of the relapsing myocardial infarction. The developed method is based on the methodology of verbal decision analysis. This method makes it possible, taking into account the totality of attributes of disease, their combination and mutual effect, to increase the accuracy of prediction by 2,7 % (in comparison to the method-prototype). This provides a possibility to prevent the relapse of disease and sudden coronary death. The proposed method is of practical interest and may be applied for the diagnosis and prediction of development of other human cardiovascular system diseases.
References
- Prevention of Recurrences of Myocardial Infarction and Stroke Study. The PREMISE programme: country projects (2016). WHO. Available at: http://www.who.int/cardiovascular_diseases/priorities/secondary_prevention/country/en/index1.html
- Mendis, S., Thygesen, K., Kuulasmaa, K., Giampaoli, S., Mahonen, M., Ngu Blackett, K., Lisheng, L. (2010). World Health Organization definition of myocardial infarction: 2008-09 revision. International Journal of Epidemiology, 40 (1), 139–146. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyq165
- Vysotskaya, E. V., Strashnenko, A. N., Demin, Y. A., Prasol, I. V., Sinenko, C. A. (2013). A method for prognosis of primary open-angle glaucoma, International Review on Computers and Software, 8 (8), 1943–1949.
- Ryabkova, E. B., Korenevskij, H. A. (2011). Metod sinteza nechetkih reshayushchih pravil po informacii o geometricheskoj strukture mnogomernyh dannyh. Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta, 7 (8), 128–137.
- Vorob'eva, O. M., Mishustin, V. N., Chernova, I. V. (2012). Sintez reshayushchih pravil dlya prognozirovaniya infarkta miokarda po pokazatelyam perekisnogo okisleniya lipidov i antiokislitel'noj aktivnosti. Izvestiya YUZGU, 2 (Part 2), 249–252.
- Vorob'eva, O. M., Kolomiec, I. V. (2009). Analiz rasprostranennosti i prognozirovanie infarkta miokarda, gipertonicheskoj bolezni v g. Kurske. Vestnik novyh medicinskih tekhnologij, 2, 16–17.
- Sazonova, N. S., Susnina, A. V., Yakushin, S. S. (2003). Pat. № 2197889 RF, MPK A61V 5/00. Sposob prognozirovaniya vozmozhnosti vozniknoveniya recidiviruyushchego infarkta miokarda. Zayavitel' i patentoobladatel' Ryazanskij gosudarstvennyj medicinskij universitet im. akad. I. P. Pavlova; declarated: 12.05.1999; published: 10.02.2003.
- Nakatani, D., Sakata, Y., Suna, S., Usami, M., Matsumoto, S., Shimizu, M. et. al. (2013). Incidence, Predictors, and Subsequent Mortality Risk of Recurrent Myocardial Infarction in Patients Following Discharge for Acute Myocardial Infarction. Circulation Journal, 77 (2), 439–446. doi: 10.1253/circj.cj-11-1059
- Leander, K., Wiman, B., Hallqvist, J., Andersson, T., Ahlbom, A., de Faire, U. (2007). Primary risk factors influence risk of recurrent myocardial infarction/death from coronary heart disease: results from the Stockholm Heart Epidemiology Program (SHEEP). European Journal of Cardiovascular Prevention & Rehabilitation, 14 (4), 532–537. doi: 10.1097/hjr.0b013e328012e3cc
- Chaudhry, S. I., Khan, R. F., Chen, J., Dharmarajan, K., Dodson, J. A., Masoudi, F. A. et. al. (2014). National Trends in Recurrent AMI Hospitalizations 1 Year After Acute Myocardial Infarction in Medicare Beneficiaries: 1999-2010. Journal of the American Heart Association, 3 (5), e001197–e001197. doi: 10.1161/jaha.114.001197
- Cui, J., Forbes, A., Kirby, A., Marschner, I., Simes, J., Hunt, D. et. al. (2010). Semi-parametric risk prediction models for recurrent cardiovascular events in the LIPID study. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 10 (1). doi: 10.1186/1471-2288-10-27
- Larichev, O. I. (2006). Verbal'nyj analiz reshenij. Moscow: Nauka, 181.
- Vysockaya, E. V. (2014). Metod opredeleniya znachimosti mnenij ehkspertov pri formirovanii ehkspertnoj gruppy dlya prinyatiya medicinskih reshenij. Sistemi obrobki іnformacіi, 2 (118), 216–221.
- Vysockaya, E. V. (2015). Koncepciya povysheniya kachestva prinyatiya reshenij vracha. Іnformacіjnі tekhnologіi: nauka, tekhnіka, tekhnologіya, osvіta, zdorov'ya, Part ІІІ, 32.
- Vysockaya, E. V., Pecherskaya, A. I., Dovnar', A. I. (2014). Medical decisions under uncertainty. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 3 (4 (69)), 16–21. doi: 10.15587/1729-4061.2014.23935
- Vysockaya, E. V. (2014). Razrabotka strategii povysheniya kachestva podderzhki prinyatiya reshenij vracha obshchej praktiki. Sistemi obrobki іnformacіi, 5 (121), 142–145.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2016 Andrei Porvan, Sofia Yakubovska, Olena Vуsotska, Dmytro Yelchaninov, Elena Linnyk
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The consolidation and conditions for the transfer of copyright (identification of authorship) is carried out in the License Agreement. In particular, the authors reserve the right to the authorship of their manuscript and transfer the first publication of this work to the journal under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY license. At the same time, they have the right to conclude on their own additional agreements concerning the non-exclusive distribution of the work in the form in which it was published by this journal, but provided that the link to the first publication of the article in this journal is preserved.
A license agreement is a document in which the author warrants that he/she owns all copyright for the work (manuscript, article, etc.).
The authors, signing the License Agreement with TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC, have all rights to the further use of their work, provided that they link to our edition in which the work was published.
According to the terms of the License Agreement, the Publisher TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC does not take away your copyrights and receives permission from the authors to use and dissemination of the publication through the world's scientific resources (own electronic resources, scientometric databases, repositories, libraries, etc.).
In the absence of a signed License Agreement or in the absence of this agreement of identifiers allowing to identify the identity of the author, the editors have no right to work with the manuscript.
It is important to remember that there is another type of agreement between authors and publishers – when copyright is transferred from the authors to the publisher. In this case, the authors lose ownership of their work and may not use it in any way.