Information technology of management of agricultural factories on the basis of forecasting of its economic state
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2012.5687Keywords:
Random sequences, canonical expansions, extrapolation algorithmAbstract
Nowadays there are a lot of stochastic solutions of the problem of extrapolation of economic indicators. However, existing forecasting models were obtained under certain assumptions about the nature of changes of economic indicators. That greatly limits the accuracy of the solution. On the basis of the mechanism of canonical expansions we generated the forecasting algorithm, which does not restrict any random sequence of changes of economic indicators (Markov property, stationarity, monotonicity, scalarity, etc.). The only requirement of the method of canonical expansions of random sequences is a finiteness of the variance, which is usually performed for real sequences. The algorithm allows to predict the results of the company activity and to manage its development at the level of land resources, workforce, and fixed assets. The article presents a block diagram of the operation of the forecasting algorithm and the general scheme of computer system based on the proposed information technology. The information technology can be adapted to other control parameters, and used by non-agricultural enterprisesReferences
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Copyright (c) 2014 Ігор Петрович Атаманюк, Наталія Миколаївна Сіренко, Інна Володимирівна Баришівська
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